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PTCGL credit farming – Dusting Scorer v2
I developed my own Pokemon TCG Live dusting simulator/scorer @ dust.4tcg.live because:
- I wanted to understand the topic, to give good recommendations on which PTCGL codes to buy.
- TrustYourPilot’s TCG Live economy videos are genius, but people reported different numbers in comments (OBF being 41k-43k).
- Pokedata simulator seems great but stopped with „Temporal Forces“.
I called it a Dusting „Scorer“, because it picks up the idea of TrustYourPilot’s video, to factor in code prices.
Bug on Pokedata
I was a bit shocked when I found out that some of the numbers we all looked at, were really skewed.
Looking at pull tables on pokedata, I realized that upgrade slots hit high rarities far too often. Those are typically slots 1-3 that have a very low chance to hit a high rarity card.
This error has higher impact on sets where those „Upgrade Cards“ have a low count, creating an unrealistic amount of dust. Thus sets like e.g Celebrations and DetectivePikachu are not impacted.
I had a brief chat about the suspicion on Bluesky and the author confirmed that this is „probably a bug“.
| SET | Upgrade Cards | Pokedata | Dust4TCG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEF | 56 | 50 | 47 | – 6% |
| OBF | 33 | 57 | 43 | – 25% |
| PGO | 30 | 89 | 65 | – 27% |
| SHF | 27 | 71 | 55 | – 23% |
Experiment with SHF
I chose shining fates because I have plenty of codes from this set, not much redeemed (13 cards for expanded) and the numbers are not overlapping.
Only 1% of my dustings runs could barely reach the minimum I got on pokedata.
Shining Fates is especially interesting because it only has 1 RainbowRare card (Alcremie VMax), hitting a ridiculous amount of 7-32 times in my testing runs on pokedata.
Statistically you should expect to hit 6.4 of this card.
| Pokedata | Dust4TCG | |
|---|---|---|
| Min | 60990 | 47105 |
| Max | 83645 | 66650 |
| Avg | 71000 | 55000 |
| 99% below | 60625 |
My Result
Credits: 52590
Rainbow Rare Pulls: 6
I know, it is just 1 sample of a 400 pack opening.
But given all the evidence, I think my numbers seem more reasonable.
Let me know if you have feedback. I have plans for its future, but for now I think it serves good already.
